Home MLB Three MLB teams that could fall apart before the 2026 All-Star break

Three MLB teams that could fall apart before the 2026 All-Star break

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Giancarlo
License ID: 2035754576 Author: Conor P. Fitzgerald
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Upcoming MLB season predictions

Get ready for some serious drama as we look ahead to the 2026 baseball season. It is always a wild ride when spring training kicks off, and everyone starts making bold guesses about who might actually struggle.

The upcoming year is packed with high expectations for several big franchises that are feeling the heat. Fans are already wondering which powerhouse teams might hit a wall before the Midsummer Classic in Philadelphia arrives on July 14, 2026.

Bo Bichette

Toronto Blue Jays facing doubts

The Blue Jays were the talk of the continent last year after a deep postseason run that captivated fans. However, heading into 2026, there are some major reasons to be cautious about their ability to repeat that incredible success.

Replacing a star like Bo Bichette is never an easy task for any front office to handle during the winter. With several key players moving on, the roster looks significantly different than the one that dominated headlines just a few months ago.

Anthony Santander

Blue Jays injury setbacks

The health of the roster is already a major concern as the team prepares for the grind of a new season. Anthony Santander has already been ruled out for the entire 2026 season, which is a massive blow to their offensive power.

Losing such a vital slugger puts a lot of pressure on George Springer to remain healthy and productive all year. If he cannot duplicate his elite 2025 performance, the lineup might struggle to produce enough runs to stay competitive.

Toronto pitching depth issues

While the additions of Dylan Cease and Cody Ponce were successful, the rotation still has plenty of cracks showing. Shane Bieber is already dealing with arm issues that make it hard to feel confident in his availability for 2026.

Relying on a rookie like Trey Yesavage to anchor a staff after a long postseason stretch is a very big ask. Even with Kevin Gausman and Jose Berrios leading the way, the depth behind them feels a little bit shaky.

torontocanadajuly 222015 detail of blue jays memorabilia sel

Uncertainty in the bullpen

The back end of the game is another area where questions are starting to surface for the Blue Jays. Jeff Hoffman is generally a solid closer, but it is fair to wonder if he can maintain that high level of play.

Playing in the tough AL East means there is no room for error when the late innings roll around. If the relief corps stumbles, they could easily find themselves sliding toward the bottom of a very competitive division.

Fun fact: The Toronto Blue Jays are the only MLB team that actually requires a passport to visit for home games. Plus, they once celebrated a division title by drinking non-alcoholic beer because their star was too young to legally buy a drink.

peoria azusa  march 23 2021 fernando tatis jr infielder

San Diego Padres falling short

The Padres still have massive stars like Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. to lead the charge on the field. However, it is unlikely they will reach the 90-win mark again, given how much the supporting cast has changed.

Beyond their top superstars, the roster starts to look a bit thin compared to previous versions of the squad. The depth that once made them so dangerous is not quite as impressive as they head into the 2026 campaign.

MLB app on phone.

Padres’ financial constraints

Money is becoming a real issue in San Diego, and it is starting to reflect in their recent roster moves. Signing players like Ty France and Miguel Andujar is not the typical big splash fans have come to expect.

The team is operating on a much thinner margin of error than we have seen in the past few years. This lack of prospect capital makes it harder for them to make big moves at the trade deadline.

Elias Diaz and German Marquez

San Diego rotation questions

Getting Joe Musgrove back is a nice story, but no one knows exactly what to expect after he missed all of 2025. Michael King is also healthy now, but trusting him to lead a staff is still a bit of a gamble.

Replacing an arm like Dylan Cease with German Marquez is a clear step back in terms of overall pitching quality. The rotation has a lot of “if” factors that could lead to a quick collapse if things go south.

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New York Yankees margin of error

The Yankees decided to mostly run things back from last year, but that strategy comes with significant risks. They are heavily dependent on Aaron Judge staying healthy as he gets another year older in his legendary career.

There is very little room for error in the Bronx if they want to avoid a disappointing 2026 season. If their aging stars spend time on the shelf, the lack of depth will become a glaring problem.

Giancarlo

Yankees health concerns

Giancarlo Stanton needs his elbows to hold up if he is going to be a consistent force in the middle of the order. While Anthony Volpe’s return to full strength would be a boost, it is not enough to fix everything.

The team is also counting on Trent Grisham and Ben Rice to repeat their surprising 2025 performances. If those players take a step back, the offense could become very stagnant during the dog days of summer.

Cole

Gerrit Cole must lead

Everything for the Yankees’ pitching staff starts and ends with the health of their ace, Gerrit Cole. They also need Carlos Rodon to stay on the mound after his elbow issues caused him to miss time last year.

The rotation is relying heavily on young arms like Cam Schlittler and Luis Gil to eat up meaningful innings. If the veterans at the top cannot stay healthy, the pressure on these youngsters will be immense.

Store front of New York Yankees team store on 5th Avenue in New York City.

Risky New York depth

Trading for Ryan Weathers was an interesting move, but his history of injury problems is hard to ignore completely. He has never been able to stay healthy for a full season, and that is a major red flag.

The Yankees are asking a lot from a group of pitchers with very limited experience at the highest level. In a division as tough as the AL East, one or two injuries could end their season before it starts.

Justin Verlander returning to Detroit is a legendary homecoming that proves baseball still has a soul. Watch the future Hall of Famer finish his career where it started is pure magic for the fans and the sport.

Final 2026 season outlook

The road to the All-Star break on July 14, 2026, is going to be a stressful one for these three franchises. While optimism is high in February, the reality of the long season usually brings everyone back to earth.

Whether it is pitching depth or aging superstars, these teams are walking a very fine line this year. Fans should keep a close eye on the injury reports as they will likely decide who stays afloat.

If stories like this remind you how powerful baseball’s connections can be, take a moment to explore how Japan’s deep bond with the game continues to shape its culture and global influence.

Which of these three teams do you think is in the most danger of a mid-season collapse, or is there another heavy hitter we missed? Drop your predictions in the comments and give us a like!

This slideshow was made with AI assistance and human editing.

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